TRON (TRX) Price Prediction for the End of 2025: Comprehensive Analysis
The material in this article is intended solely for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies involves high risk.
Introduction
TRON (TRX) is a decentralized blockchain platform launched in 2017 by the TRON Foundation under the leadership of Justin Sun. The platform focuses on building infrastructure for a decentralized internet, supporting smart contracts and dApps with high throughput and low fees. As of the end of August 2025, TRX is trading around $0.345 with a market capitalization of ~$32.65 billion and a daily trading volume of ~$1.07 billion. coinmarketcap.com
Current Market Situation
As of August 28, 2025, TRX is trading around ~$0.345, with a market capitalization of ~$32.65 billion and a daily trading volume of ~$1.07 billion. The circulating supply is 94.66 billion TRX. Over the past week, the price has declined by ~0.6%, but for August it has increased by ~8%. Volatility is moderate (~3.6% over 30 days), and the fear/greed index remains in the neutral zone (~45–51). Technical indicators suggest a medium-term uptrend: the 50-day MA (~$0.328) is above the 200-day MA (~$0.251). The 14-day RSI in the mid-50s signals a neutral-to-bullish sentiment, while the MACD is slightly bearish. Network activity remains strong: ~2–3 million active addresses and ~7–8 million transactions daily. TRX is consolidating in the $0.34–$0.36 range with neutral-to-bullish signals. coinmarketcap.com, coincodex.com, changelly.com
Price Forecast for the End of 2025
Predictions for TRX by the end of 2025 vary:
- Bearish Scenario: Price may fall to $0.25–$0.30 due to market downturns or regulatory risks. Changelly predicts a minimum of ~$0.277, Flitpay — $0.17. changelly.com, ainvest.com
- Base Scenario: Price in the $0.34–$0.38 range. Changelly projects an average of ~$0.329, Bitget — ~$0.3588. changelly.com, bitgetapp.com
- Bullish Scenario: Price may reach $0.42–$0.45, with some forecasts up to $0.73 (CoinStats/Coinpedia). CoinCodex expects $0.421–$0.426. coinstats.app, coincodex.com
Consensus range: $0.25–$0.45, with the most likely level ~$0.34–$0.38. changelly.com, coincodex.com
Growth Factors
- Stablecoin dominance: TRON processes ~75% of all USDT transfers (~$25 billion daily) and holds over $62 billion USDT on-chain. USDC growth (+210% over 12 months) strengthens its position. coinlaw.io, cryptoslate.com
- DeFi and dApps: The TRON ecosystem includes ~1,900 dApps with ~$9.3 billion TVL. JustLend (~$3.7 billion) and SunSwap (~$3–3.8 billion monthly volume) lead in DeFi. Low fees ($0.0003) and high throughput (2,000+ TPS) attract developers. ainvest.com, cryptoslate.com
- Tokenomics and DAO: Over 50% of TRX is staked, and burning (~7.1 billion TRX, including 820 million in 2025) reduces supply. The DAO funds USDD reserves and grants, boosting trust. ainvest.com
- Integrations: Integration with MetaMask (August 2025) opened access to 100M wallets. Partnerships with Chainlink, MoonPay, and new Super Representatives (Nansen, P2P.org) expand infrastructure. coinmarketcap.com, cryptoslate.com
- Emerging market growth: ~60% of new wallets come from Asia, TRON leads in crypto remittances in Latin America. Integration into 50+ fintech apps boosts demand. coinlaw.io
Risks and Limiting Factors
- Regulatory risks: Stablecoin dominance (USDT/USDD) and the SEC lawsuit against Justin Sun (for unregistered securities) create uncertainty. coinmarketcap.com, uk.advfn.com
- Centralization: Governance through 27 Super Representatives and Tron Inc.’s large reserves raise decentralization concerns. uk.advfn.com
- Competition: Ethereum, Solana, and BSC threaten TRON’s stablecoin and DeFi share. Ethereum upgrades (e.g., EIP-4844) may reduce TRON’s fee advantage. coinmarketcap.com
- Market volatility: Downturns (e.g., Bitcoin dominance increase) may trigger altcoin sell-offs, including TRX. coinmarketcap.com
- Technical risks: A drop below $0.34–$0.35 support may lead to declines toward $0.32 or lower. coinmarketcap.com
Volatility and Technical Analysis
TRX is trading in the $0.32–$0.38 range. The 50-day MA (~$0.328) is above the 200-day MA (~$0.251), confirming a medium-term uptrend. Key levels: support at ~$0.34 (20-day MA) and ~$0.32; resistance at ~$0.36–$0.38. The 14-day RSI in the 40–50 range signals neutral-to-bearish sentiment, MACD is slightly negative. Trading volumes are stable ($1–1.6B/day). A breakout above $0.38 would confirm a bullish trend, while a drop below $0.34 could lead to declines toward $0.32. coincodex.com, coinmarketcap.com
Conclusion
By the end of 2025, TRX is likely to trade within $0.25–$0.45, with the base case at ~$0.34–$0.38. A bullish scenario ($0.42–$0.45) is possible if stablecoins, DeFi, and the $1B TRX buyback succeed. A bearish scenario ($0.25–$0.28) is likely in case of regulatory crackdowns or market downturns. Investors should monitor stablecoin volumes, DeFi TVL, token burns, and technical levels ($0.34–$0.38). TRON has strong fundamental drivers, but competition and regulation risks call for caution. For more details visit coinmarketcap.com and coinlaw.io. changelly.com, coinstats.app